Hard facts about the effects of the data crunch on mobile networks are hard to come by. With this in mind, Amdocs commissioned an independent survey to establish how serious the issue is, what its effects are and what service providers are doing about it. Telesperience interviewed 30 network planners from mobile network operators across different regions with a mix of different sized operators to determine the current state of the industry. The research provides a unique picture of what the capacity crunch actually looks like in real wireless networks worldwide, as experienced by those responsible for managing its consequences.
63% of service providers interviewed said they were already experiencing the effects of the data capacity crunch. 20% of the sample confirmed that heavy traffic was leading to severe overload at times.
The root cause of this congestion varied across different regions. Asian service providers cited mobile broadband service from laptops as a primary cause, while North American respondents reported that smartphones and unlimited data plans were the most serious issue. The picture across European service providers is more varied, with smartphones, unlimited data plans and bandwidth hogs all taking a share of the blame. Overall, the rapid and continuing rise in smartphone numbers and use is generating more traffic than service providers can handle.

No cartoon Cap'ns were harmed in the writing of this blog
The major consequences of the data capacity crunch were ranked as the effect on customer experience, growing numbers of customer complaints about poor data service and the risk of churn to other networks. Conversely, voice capacity is not seen as being affected.
Many service providers believe this is starting to affect their brand reputation. In many countries with mature, developed mobile networks, there has been little to choose between providers. Customers have in the past made their choice on a wider range of factors from price plans, available mobile devices, retail locations or special offers. In some case voice coverage may vary, with localised areas of poor service becoming an overriding factor. Otherwise, relatively little time is spent considering network quality as a major factor.
The dissatisfaction in data service and its importance when used with smartphones may now become a more significant factor in the customers buying process. Service providers are right to be concerned about the serious implications to their bottom line that accompanies a poor brand reputation.
So what are service providers doing to deal with this growing problem? Perhaps unsurprisingly, most were dealing with the issue primarily by planning additional capacity. Cellsites and backhaul transmission were seen as the two major bottlenecks where capacity would have most impact. New faster radio technologies such as HSPA+ and LTE offer greater efficiencies and throughput. These cellsite upgrades will naturally require equivalent high capacity backhaul transmission to provide faster connections between cellsites and central switching centres.
Ethernet is by far the most popular choice for high capacity backhaul, with 97% of respondents having planned for it and 17% already deployed the technology.
Simply adding more equipment won’t in itself solve the problem. Around 60% perceive the greatest challenge was around end-to-end QoS (Quality of Service) design. Some 50% also thought that aligning RF and Ethernet transmission parameters would be difficult. Specifically the Ethernet backhaul connected to high capacity cellsites needs to be actively capacity managed to avoid bottlenecks or overcapacity.
In addition, with backhaul today comprising many different technologies – PDH, SDH, ATM, IP and Ethernet – design tools are required which can accurately track the capacity assignments including packet overheads throughout large and complex networks. Amdocs Mobile Data Capacity Solution addresses these needs and allows network designers to stay in control as they migrate to new technologies.
In the survey, service providers recognised that the most important factor to their bottom line was aligning network costs with revenues. Industry analysts suggest that many service providers continue to make around 70% of their revenues from voice today, but some 70% of traffic being carried is data rather than voice.
Other strategies to deal with capacity growth are also in hand. Unlimited data plans have been withdrawn recently by several large network providers that have cited abuse by bandwidth hogs as a primary reason. Usage caps restrict this abuse and free up resources to share among other paying customers.
Traffic shaping, using some form of policy management system, has also been a popular theme of recent mobile conferences, with most service providers either having deployed policy management solutions or in the process of acquiring one. The pace of adoption has been driven in Europe by regulatory requirements to avoid bill shock.
Optimisation of data traffic can also relieve capacity. For example, there is no need to download high resolution video suitable for large screens when operating a small screen device. Inline transcoding of such video traffic can substantially reduce the data download required. Efficient design of mobile data applications can also significantly affect overall traffic demand.
Traffic offload to public (and private) Wi-Fi networks or femtocells is also a significant strategy. Both ATT Wireless and Verizon are reported to be offloading some 50% of video traffic to public Wi-Fi hotspots.
The survey provides concrete evidence that the data capacity crunch is affecting mobile service providers worldwide. Brand reputation, customer complaints and churn are starting to be impacted. While service providers are choosing to expand capacity by adopting newer technologies, network planners also recognise growing difficulties of capacity management and configuration for Ethernet and high speed cellsites. These will require sophisticated engineering design and planning tools. Additionally, a range of complementary strategies is essential to address rapidly growing data traffic levels.
A data sheet detailing the findings of this research is available to download at www.osstransformation.com
Also available for download is our whitepaper “10 Ways to deal with the Data Capacity Crunch“